In this crucial episode of Daniel Davis Deep Dive, I’m joined by Steve Jermy to dissect Vladimir Putin’s evolving strategy in Ukraine. As the Ukrainian military shows signs of weakening, the stakes are higher than ever. We explore Putin’s “Plan A”: relentless military pressure to secure key territories—and his “Plan B”: a possible diplomatic pause after consolidating control over four critical regions.
Western estimates, like those from the UK Ministry of Defense suggesting Russia needs years and immense casualties to win, are increasingly questioned. Many experts argue these figures rely on unreliable Ukrainian sources and flawed assumptions. The reality? Russian firepower advantages and higher Ukrainian losses paint a starkly different picture. European leaders, it seems, risk being trapped in a political narrative detached from battlefield realities, potentially jeopardizing their own interests until undeniable shifts occur.
Nevertheless, Russia continues to publicly signal openness to peace talks. Following the recent Alaska summit, Putin described these talks as frank and constructive, emphasizing the importance of addressing the core causes of the conflict and leaving open the possibility of a negotiated settlement.
This episode is essential listening for anyone seeking honest, unvarnished analysis on where the war in Ukraine truly stands—and what might come next.
